[Most Recent Quotes from www.kitco.com]

Fund

Gold and Silver • Japanese institutional investors crash hedge fund short pos

Japanese institutional investors crash hedge fund short positions in gold and silver with a tsunami of money
Posted on 10 April 2013

A tsunami of money is crashing the short positions in gold and silver held by global hedge funds which veteran gold traders think is going to result in a massive leap for gold and silver prices over the coming months. The hedge funds simply did not forecast the Bank of Japan printing money on the scale it announced last week.

Japanese institutions are reverting to the well-known ‘carry trade’ whereby they borrow cheaply in yen and invest overseas in assets with higher returns. That is not so difficult when Japanese money costs a fraction of one per cent and many other asset classes still pay more but there is a severe devaluation downside risk.

QE boosts gold and silver

The QE1 and QE2 money printing programs totalling $2.5 billion from the Federal Reserve took silver prices from $8 to $50, a stunning 525 per cent increase in 30 months from the low point of 2008. Gold was up $680 to $1,923 in 35 months, gaining 183 per cent.

Top trader Dan Norcini told KWN today that Japan’s $1.4 billion-a-year QE program sets the gold and silver market up for similar gains today. That would mean silver trading at around $135 an ounce and gold up to $2,800.

There is no reason why prices should not overshoot to the upside this time around. History seldom repeats itself exactly and the expansion of the monetary base is now entering a dramatic new phase.

Risky undertaking

George Soros and Bill Gross are warning that the Bank of Japan is taking a big risk. If too much money leaves Japan then inflation will rage out of control and the bond market will crash. That would leave the Japanese economy in a worse and not better state. At the moment the sugar rush of QE is creating a mini-boom especially in the stock market.

But boom could soon turn to bust as market forces reassert themselves. Another very good reason for Japanese financial institutions to get some precious metals on to their balance sheets before things turn belly up.

The land of the falling yen could quickly become a hellish place for investors with wealth destruction on a massive scale. Money switched into gold and silver now could be used to buy back other assets at much cheaper prices after the crash.

http://www.arabianmoney.net/gold-silver … -of-money/

Statistics: Posted by yoda — Thu Apr 11, 2013 12:17 am


View full post on opinions.caduceusx.com

Agriculture • Pension fund buys $100m of land in hunt for safety

The 16,000-hectare farm which Första AP-fonden bought in Australia in December was one of a clutch of purchases of farmland, worth some $100m, by the pension fund.

The Swedish fund, which manages some E30bn in pension savings, revealed that it "invested in about 15 agricultural properties in Australia, and a dozen agricultural properties in New Zealand".

The New Zealand farms alone cost SEK333m ($52m), the fund, known as AP1, revealed in its the annual report.

The properties included eight dairy farms totalling more than 3,200 hectares bought from the empire of Graeme Hart, a former truck driver who, through his Reynolds packaging empire, has risen to become Australasia’s richest man, with a fortune estimated last week by Forbes at $5.3bn.

Growing portfolio

While AP1 did not detail the acquisition cost of its Australian purchases – bought through a subsidiary named First Australian Farmland, and managed by Victoria-based AAG Investment Management – it valued the division’s new investments at SEK311m ($49m).

That takes the total value of its farmland deals last year to about $100m.

The Australian farms purchased were "mainly grain, meat, wool and milk" producers, with the New Zealand operations "concentrated in milk production", AP1 said.

The group in December purchased a 16,000-hectare farm near Henty in New South Wales, for a price believed to be about $7m.

‘Stable and safe returns’

The fund said that the shift into farmland represented an effort to diversify risk, and tap into an asset which has historically shown little correlation with mainstream financial investments, so limiting the damage to the overall portfolio from a setback in markets.

"Over the past four years, the fund has taken advantage of investment opportunities that arose in the aftermath of the financial crisis," AP1 said.

"The purpose of the agricultural investment is to provide long-term stable and safe returns and, through a different pattern of returns, complement to the rest of the portfolio."

The fund also sees gricultural investment as a hedge against climate change. Its research had shown that climate change and its influence on investment can have a crucial impact on the fund’s long-term returns.

"One way to reduce climate risks in the portfolio is to invest in ‘climate-smart’ assets ," including farming, "to make the return on the fund’s portfolio less sensitive to climate change".

http://www.agrimoney.com/news/pension-f … -5608.html

Statistics: Posted by yoda — Mon Mar 11, 2013 10:17 am


View full post on opinions.caduceusx.com

Gold and Silver • Sprott Debuts Physical Platinum-Palladium Fund

Sprott Debuts Physical Platinum-Palladium Fund

Posted on December 26, 2012 by Stoyan Bojinov

http://commodityhq.com/2012/sprott-debu … dium-fund/

As the end of the year draws closer, tensions in Washington D.C. are starting to boil as gridlock may push us over the much-feared “fiscal cliff” and back into recession. Diminishing hopes that policymakers can strike a deal before the deadline has kept a lid on confidence while prices have remained fairly stable, which may be setting up stock markets for a disastrous open in 2013. Amid the mixed landscape, Toronto-based Sprott Asset Management rolled out a physical platinum and palladium fund on the NYSE [for more economic news and analysis subscribe to our free newsletter].

Sprott’s Physical Platinum and Palladium Trust (SPPP) marks another stride forward in the democratization of the commodity asset class. Investors should note, however, that amid the wave of ETF launches, Sprott’s offering is actually a closed-end fund. This means that SPFF can trade at a premium or a discount to its NAV for prolonged periods of time since the number of shares outstanding is static when compared to an ETF, which instead relies on the dynamic creation/redemption mechanism [see 3 Forgotten Ways To Play The Mining Industry].

SPPP comes with a 0.50% annual price tag, which is quite competitive considering that its closest ETF-counterparts both charge a steeper fee. Like other Sprott metals funds, SPPP boasts a redemption feature that allows investors to redeem their shares for physical platinum and palladium, a feature that some find incredibly appealing.

Ways To Play

Investors looking to gain exposure to platinum and palladium, but who wish to steer clear of futures contracts, may opt for two existing exchange-traded funds offered through ETF Securities:
•Physical Platinum Shares (PPLT): This ETF is designed to track the spot price of platinum bullion and charges 0.60% in annual expense fees.
•Physical Palladium Shares (PALL): This ETF is designed to track the spot price of palladium bullion and also features a price tag of 0.60%.

Don’t forget to subscribe to our free daily commodity investing newsletter and follow us on Twitter @CommodityHQ.

Disclosure: No positions at time of writing.

This entry was posted in Investment Vehicles, Palladium, Platinum and tagged PALL, PPLT, sppp. Bookmark the permalink

Statistics: Posted by DIGGER DAN — Mon Jan 28, 2013 2:37 am


View full post on opinions.caduceusx.com

Business • Qatar sovereign wealth fund pulling money out of financial

Qatar sovereign wealth fund pulling money out of financial markets at the moment
Posted on 29 September 2012

The head of the Qatar sovereign wealth funds told CNBC yesterday that he is a seller at the moment. When the world’s most avaricious buyer turns seller then you have to ask what is holding these markets up.

Maria Bartiromo talked global politics, oil and gas along with Qatar’s key sovereign wealth fund investments with Qatari Prime Minister Sheikh Hamad Bin Jassim Bin Jabr Al Thani .

Tough questions

‘There are some questions with no answer,’ he said. ‘It is natural to me for Asia to slow down, is it a soft landing or not? The central banks and governments have to come together but politicians have to make it happen.

‘At the moment we sell, not a lot because I believe the market will soften… We try to be very cautious. But our strategic holdings stay and we will buy more when markets go down…’

His Highness also discussed how the civil war in Syria could be stopped… and his hopes for a US-led, post-presidential election solution for the region.

http://www.arabianmoney.net/gold-silver … right-now/

Statistics: Posted by yoda — Sat Sep 29, 2012 7:49 am


View full post on opinions.caduceusx.com

Gold and Silver • New York Fed Releases Staff Report on Money Market Fund Ref

New York Fed Releases Staff Report on Money Market Fund Reform

July 19, 2012

The Federal Reserve Bank of New York today released a staff report describing how a proposal for money market mutual fund (MMF) reform would make the financial system safer and more fair, reducing systemic risk and protecting small investors who do not redeem quickly from distressed funds.

The paper discusses a proposal to mitigate the vulnerability of MMFs to runs by introducing a “minimum balance at risk” (MBR) that that would provide a disincentive to withdraw funds from a troubled money fund. The MBR would be a small fraction of each shareholder’s recent balances that would be set aside in the event that they withdrew from the fund. Most regular transactions in the fund would continue as before, but redemptions of the MBR would be delayed for thirty days. The delay would ensure that redeeming investors remain partially invested in the fund long enough to share in any imminent portfolio losses or costs arising from their redemptions.

At present, investors in a troubled fund have a strong incentive to run because those that are first to the exit can get out with 100 cents on the dollar, leaving other investors in the same fund to bear any losses. The MBR proposal would substantially reduce the incentive to run and ensure more equitable distribution of any loss among investors in a fund. Under the proposal discussed in the paper, as long as an investor’s balance exceeds the MBR, the rule would have no effect on transactions and no portion of any redemption would be delayed if the remaining shares exceed the minimum balance.

Additionally, MBRs could strengthen market incentives for early market discipline for MMFs by clarifying that investors cannot quickly redeem all shares from a fund during a crisis. Investors would have strong incentives to identify potential problems well before any losses are realized. Furthermore, by discouraging investors from redeeming shares in a troubled MMF, the MBR would help the fund avoid the need for fire sales of assets to raise cash – an effect that not only benefits the fund and its investors, but also reduces contagion risk throughout the system.

"Further reform of money funds is essential for our nation’s financial stability. Proposals currently under consideration, that are consistent with the basic idea discussed in this staff report, would make the financial system much safer. I strongly endorse their adoption," said William Dudley, president of the New York Fed. Mr. Dudley noted that small investors could be exempted from the requirement to maintain a minimum balance as they were less prone to withdraw their money at the first sign of trouble.

The report, “The Minimum Balance at Risk: A Proposal to Mitigate the Systemic Risks Posed by Money Market Funds,” is coauthored by Patrick McCabe, Marco Cipriani, Michael Holscher, and Antoine Martin. Patrick McCabe is a senior economist in the Research and Statistics Division at the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve; Marco Cipriani is a senior economist in the Research and Statistics Group at the New York Fed; Michael Holscher is an officer in the Markets Group at the New York Fed; and Antoine Martin is an assistant vice president in the Research and Statistics Group at the New York Fed.

The Minimum Balance at Risk: A Proposal to Mitigate the Systemic Risks Posed by Money Market Funds

http://www.newyorkfed.org/newsevents/ne … 20719.html

Statistics: Posted by yoda — Fri Jul 20, 2012 7:39 am


View full post on opinions.caduceusx.com

Business • California Hedge Fund Is Latest Europe Crisis Casualty

By Saijel Kishan – Jun 14, 2012 Hedge-fund manager Paul Sinclair is the latest casualty of Europe’s sovereign-debt turmoil, almost six thousand miles away from the epicenter of the crisis.

Sinclair, who is based in Los Angeles, is liquidating his $458 million health-care equities fund, Expo Capital Management LLC, after more than five years, as political decisions made on the other side of the globe have undermined his stock picks and spurred losses for a second year.

.“I don’t have an edge on Greek elections, the Spanish banking system, what the European Central Bank, the International Monetary Fund, the Chinese government, Angela Merkel, or the U.S. Federal Reserve will do,” he said in a telephone interview yesterday.

Sinclair, 41, said that over the past year he’s found it increasingly difficult to make money because of the macroeconomic environment, and that investing in health care since 2004 has left him “physically and mentally exhausted.” He said he chose to return money to investors, which he plans to do by the end of the month, rather than hold cash and charge them fees.

Billionaire energy trader John Arnold, former Morgan Stanley co-president Zoe Cruz, and Duke Buchan III are among managers who have shuttered hedge funds in the past year as Europe’s sovereign-debt crisis has roiled global markets. The industry last month posted its biggest loss since September as stocks slumped on concern Greece may exit the euro and the global economy is weakening.

‘Tricky Markets’
“It’s a confluence of tricky markets, super-cautious investors and a tough fundraising environment that’s making it a difficult time for hedge-fund managers,” said Steven Nadel, a partner at New York-based law firm Seward & Kissel LLP, which advises hedge funds.

Sinclair said he has most of his liquid net worth invested in his fund and was no longer comfortable putting it at risk when markets are subject to the actions of policy makers globally.

He said he plans to spend the rest of the summer sleeping and relaxing and may take up a new hobby, according to a June 9 e-mail he sent to clients. Sinclair said he would continue to follow the health-care industry and is keen to see how it is shaped by a U.S. Supreme Court decision on President Barack Obama’s health law overhauls and the November presidential elections.

Returning client money “is an unusual move but fair and would be welcomed by investors,” said Graziano Lusenti, founder of Nyon, Switzerland-based Lusenti Partners, which advises clients on investing. “Most hedge funds would try to hold onto the money for as long as they can.”

Liquidations Rise
Liquidations in the hedge-fund industry rose to 775 last year, the most since 2009, according to Hedge Fund Research Inc., a Chicago-based research firm.

Fortress Investment Group LLC, based in New York, last month said it will liquidate its $500 million commodities fund run by William Callanan after losing almost 13 percent in the first four months of the year.

Arnold also said the same month that he plans to close Centaurus Energy Master Fund in Houston. Cruz, the former Morgan Stanley executive, is liquidating her $200 million hedge fund after losing 8 percent last year.

Buchan, a New York-based hedge-fund manager, cited the European debt crisis as one of the reasons behind the closing of his equity hedge fund Hunter Global Investors LP.

“Markets seem to be driven more by the latest news out of Europe than by a company’s earnings prospects,” he said in a Dec. 8 investor letter. “We have not weathered the ensuing volatility well.”

Moore Traders
At least three hedge funds run by former Moore Capital Management LLC traders have shuttered in the past seven months after losing client money. They are Salute Capital Management, run by Lev Mikheev, Avesta Capital Advisors LLC, founded by William Tung and Tim Leslie’s JCAM Global fund.

Sinclair’s Expo Health Sciences Fund lost about 6 percent this year through May, after falling 8.7 percent in 2011, the hedge fund’s first year of negative returns, he said in an e- mail. The fund has returned about 50 percent since its 2007 inception, net of fees.

Hedge funds slumped 2.9 percent in May and 1.3 percent this year, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. They lost 5.8 percent last year and a record 19 percent in 2008, the data show.

Market Correlation
The turmoil in the global markets has spurred stocks across industries to rise and fall in tandem. The relationship between price fluctuations for health-care stocks and the rest of the market has tightened. The 30-day correlation coefficient between the MSCI World Index and its members in that industry is 0.92, compared with the average since 1995 of 0.73, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Readings of 1 mean prices are moving in lockstep.

Sinclair employed a seven-person team with offices in San Francisco. Before he started his hedge fund, Sinclair worked at Vantis Capital Management LLC, a hedge fund in Pasadena, California, where he managed a health sciences fund from about two years until the end of 2006, when the firm shut down. He was previously at Merrill Lynch & Co., within the bank’s health-care investment banking group, and before that at investment bank Donaldson Lufkin & Jenrette.

Sinclair received a masters of business administration from Stanford Graduate School of Business in 1999 and graduated with a bachelors degree in business economics from the University of California in 1994.

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-06-1 … -edge.html

Statistics: Posted by yoda — Thu Jun 14, 2012 11:03 am


View full post on opinions.caduceusx.com

Business • Stock Mutual Fund Outflows Increase

Image

The Financial Times:

US equity funds see biggest outflows of 2012: US equity funds suffered their worst outflows of the year in the week to Wednesday as investors became decisively risk-averse following a five-day losing streak for US equities. The S&P 500 fell 4.3 per cent in the five trading days to Tuesday, giving back a third of its gains from a stellar first quarter, although it has since regained some of that ground. Investors responded by withdrawing more than $7bn from US exchange-traded and mutual funds that invest in equities, the largest outflow since mid-December, and equivalent to almost 1 per cent of the assets invested in such funds, according to data from Lipper. It was the third successive week of outflows from equity funds and by far the largest.

>

Comment:
The story above refers to Lipper data. The chart above shows Investment Company Institute (ICI) data. Although they are two different sources, they generally tell the same story.

While domestic outflows (second panel in green) are the largest of 2012, they still pale in comparison to the outflows of last summer.

http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2012/04/st … -increase/

Statistics: Posted by yoda — Fri Apr 13, 2012 1:37 pm


View full post on opinions.caduceusx.com