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International News • Re: Currency War Rattles Brazil, Wakes Up The People

Protesters out again in Brazil’s biggest city

Jun 19, 2:26 AM (ET)

By BRADLEY BROOKS

SAO PAULO (AP) – Tens of thousands of Brazilians again flooded the streets of the country’s biggest city to raise a collective cry against a longstanding lament – people are weighed down by high taxes and high prices but get low-quality public services and a system of government infected with corruption.
That was the repeated message Tuesday night in Sao Paulo, where upward of 50,000 people massed in front of the city’s main cathedral. While mostly peaceful, the demonstration followed the rhythm of protests that drew 240,000 people across Brazil the previous night, with small bands of radicals splitting off to fight with police and break into stores.
Mass protests have been mushrooming across Brazil since demonstrations called last week by a group angry over the high cost of a woeful public transport system and a recent 10-cent hike in bus and subway fares in Sao Paulo, Rio and elsewhere.
The local governments in at least four cities have now agreed to reverse those hikes, and city and federal politicians have shown signs that the Sao Paulo fare could also be rolled back. It’s not clear that will calm the country, though, because the protests have released a seething litany of discontent from Brazilians over life’s struggles.

Yet, beyond complaints about the cost for bus and subway rides, protesters haven’t produced a laundry list of concrete demands. Demonstrators mainly are expressing deep anger and discontentment – not just with the ruling government, but with the entire governing system. A common chant at the rallies has been "No parties!"
"What I hope comes from these protests is that the governing class comes to understand that we’re the ones in charge, not them, and the politicians must learn to respect us," said Yasmine Gomes, a 22-year-old squeezed into the plaza in central Sao Paulo where Tuesday night’s protest began.
President Dilma Rousseff, a former leftist guerrilla who was imprisoned and tortured during Brazil’s 1964-85 dictatorship, hailed the protests for raising questions and strengthening Brazil’s democracy. "Brazil today woke up stronger," she said in a statement.
Yet Rousseff offered no actions that her government might take to address complaints, even though her administration is a prime target of demonstrators’ frustrations.
The protests have brought troubling questions about security in the country, which is playing host this week to soccer’s Confederations Cup and will welcome Pope Francis in July for a visit to Rio de Janeiro and rural Sao Paulo.

(AP) Protestors gather in front of the Metropolitan Cathedral in Sao Paulo, Brazil, Tuesday, June 18,…
Full Image
Brazil’s media has scrambled to cover the sprawling protests – coverage that in some cases raised the ire of protesters, in particular that of the powerful Globo TV network. Whenever what appears to be a Globo helicopter swoops over a demonstration, protesters hiss, raise their fists and chant slogans against the network for what they say was its failure to widely show images of a violent police crackdown on protesters last week in Sao Paulo.
Brazilian demonstrations in recent years generally had tended to attract small numbers of politicized participants, but the latest mobilizations have united huge crowds around a central complaint: The government provides woeful public services even as the economy is modernizing and growing.
The Brazilian Tax Planning Institute think tank found that the country’s tax burden in 2011 stood at 36 percent of gross domestic product, ranking it 12th among the 30 countries with the world’s highest tax burdens.
Yet public services such as schools are in sorry shape. The Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development found in a 2009 educational survey that literacy and math skills of Brazilian 15-year-olds ranked 53rd out of 65 countries, behind nations such as Bulgaria, Mexico, Turkey, Trinidad and Tobago, and Romania.
Many protesting in Brazil’s streets hail from the country’s growing middle class, which government figures show has ballooned by some 40 million over the past decade amid a commodities-driven economic boom.

(AP) Protestors destroy ATM machines at a local a bank in Sao Paulo, Brazil, Tuesday, June 18, 2013….
Full Image
They say they’ve lost patience with endemic problems such as government corruption and inefficiency. They’re also slamming Brazil’s government for spending billions of dollars to host next year’s World Cup soccer tournament and the 2016 Olympics while leaving other needs unmet.
A November report from the government raised to $13.3 billion the projected cost of stadiums, airport renovations and other projects for the World Cup. City, state and other local governments are spending more than $12 billion on projects for the Olympics in Rio. Nearly $500 million was spent to renovate Maracana stadium in Rio for the World Cup even though the venue already went through a significant face-lift before the 2007 Pan American Games.
Attorney Agatha Rossi de Paula, who attended the latest protest in Sao Paulo along with her mother, called Brazil’s fiscal priorities "an embarrassment."
"We just want what we paid in taxes back, through health care, education and transportation," said the 34-year-old attorney. "We want the police to protect us, to help the people on the streets who have ended up with no job and no money."
Although a single group set the protests in motion with its demonstrations last week calling for lowered transit fares, the mass gatherings are showing no evidence of any central leadership, with people using social media to call for marches and rallies. Groups of Brazilians also staged small protests Tuesday in other countries, including Mexico, Portugal, Spain and Denmark.

A cyber-attack knocked the government’s official World Cup site offline Tuesday, and the Twitter feed for Brazil’s Anonymous hackers group posted links to a host of other government websites whose content had been replaced by a screen calling on citizens to come out to the streets.
Tuesday night’s march in Sao Paulo started out peacefully but turned nasty outside City Hall when a small group lashed out at police and tried to invade the building.
Different groups of protesters faced off, one chanting "peace, peace" while trying to form a human cordon to protect the building, the other trying to clamber up metal poles to get inside. At one point, one person tried to seize a metal barrier from another who was trying to use it to smash the building’s windows and doors.
The air was thick with police pepper spray and smoke after demonstrators set a TV satellite truck and a police lookout booth on fire.

http://apnews.myway.com/article/20130619/DA70KUBO1.html

Statistics: Posted by yoda — Wed Jun 19, 2013 9:36 pm


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International News • UBS Unloaded Rotten Securities on Leipzig

Junk Soup: UBS Unloaded Rotten Securities on Leipzig

REUTERS
An investigation by the United States Securities and Exchange Commission has revealed for the first time the methods with which the Swiss investment bank UBS sought to palm off bad debt securities on German municipalities. It succeeded in Leipzig.

The American banker couldn’t even pronounce the name of his German client when he appeared for the interview on the morning of Sept. 20, 2012: Kommunale Wasserwerke Leipzig, quite a tongue twister for a Wall Street man. But it wouldn’t make much difference, he reasoned, because hardly anyone in America was likely to have heard of it before.

ANZEIGE

By the afternoon of the next day, after undergoing 12 hours of questioning by the American financial regulatory agency, the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), John Simon* knew he was mistaken. SEC enforcement division lawyer Andrew H. Feller was in fact very well informed, after having read through emails and call logs, and he knew whom Simon had met in New York, London and South Africa. The SEC attorney could even pronounce the name of the city of Leipzig’s water utility relatively well.
Feller had spent two years investigating the methods Simon had used to develop risky deals involving water treatment plants in the eastern German state of Saxony for UBS, a major Swiss bank. In the end, Leipzig faced potential losses of €300 million ($400 million), joining the ranks of many German municipalities that had lost vast sums of money in complex Wall Street deals.

There had already been a number of court cases to examine the ways in which local politicians in Germany had been led astray in global financial markets. The SEC investigation now outlined a more comprehensive picture and shed light on the dubious role played by the banks. When the SEC in Washington concludes its investigation, known by its file No. 11728, it will likely lead to a reassessment of the actions of German cities before and during the financial crisis.

Were City Managers Duped?

Until now, it was widely felt that local politicians and the managers of their municipal operations often had only themselves to blame. With a mixture of naïveté and greed, they had bought financial products of which they understood neither the names nor the risks they were taking by making those investments.

It is now emerging that international bankers developed aggressive strategies to dispose of toxic securities by selling them to German municipalities. It appears the banks deliberately targeted inexperienced provincial managers and sold them bad deals from which only the banks could profit.

Internal bank documents and court records show that shortly before the financial crisis began, UBS apparently sold securities to the city of Leipzig for which the risks were almost impossible to calculate, earning a sizeable profit in the process. "The supposed transaction only served the purposes of banks and criminal racketeers and is null and void, as far as we are concerned," says current Leipzig Mayor Burkhard Jung, a member of the center-left Social Democratic Party (SPD).

It was too late by the time city managers realized that in order to insure their sewage treatment plants, they were to be liable for the mortgage-backed securities of American banks.

Much is at stake. If the SEC can prove that the bankers acted fraudulently, other investment banks could also face consequences resulting from past deals. In Berlin, J.P. Morgan is claiming €155 million from a similar deal with the city’s public transport authority. In the case of the Leipzig water utility, UBS will likely be slapped with substantial fines. Leipzig, on the other hand, will probably not be ordered to pay the €300 million the Swiss bank has sought to recover in a lawsuit filed against the city.

A City Discovers Turbo-Capitalism

The story began in the late 1990s, when local politicians and the managers of municipal operations discovered turbo-capitalism, along with its seemingly endless possibilities for increasing wealth. Cross-border leasing was the magic word.

In the transactions, cities sold their infrastructure to US financial investors, who then leased the facilities back to the municipal governments. It was purely an accounting transaction that promised to benefit everyone involved, or at least it seemed that way. The investors benefited by reducing their US tax liability, and they passed on a portion of these savings to the municipalities in the form of "cash value benefits."

Leipzig was a particularly avid participant in the game. First city officials sold off the convention center, followed by the city’s streetcars. Sewage networks and sewage treatment plants were also targeted for sale to American investors.

Moving More than Water

Klaus Heininger was especially fascinated by this business model. The head of Kommunale Wasserwerke Leipzig (KWL) had moved to Leipzig from Bavaria. Self-confident, risk-taking managers like Heininger were in great demand there at the time. But soon Heininger realized that the classic business of managing the city’s water supply was no longer sufficiently attractive. "We move more than water," was his motto.

Starting in 2000, he began moving hundreds of millions of euros back and forth. Banks, trusts and offshore companies around the world became involved in the business of selling and leasing back Leipzig’s sewage networks and wastewater treatment plants. The deal went through and initially provided Leipzig with €22 million in revenues.

Meanwhile in New York, financial managers were developing new ideas to keep the lucrative business with European municipalities going. Simon was one of the hundreds of determined men and women rushing around Wall Street with oversized cardboard cups of coffee in their hands. It was before the crash, when everything seemed possible and even the most absurd-seeming financial products promised to develop into enormous deals. A former business partner referred to Simon as "a cool guy who can sniff out a good deal right away," someone who meant $30 million when he said 30 bucks.

Simon had gone to law school in the early 1990s. Later, working for the investment bank Credit Suisse First Boston, he set up cross-border leasing arrangements with European cities for US investors. He moved to UBS in 2002, where he also worked with municipalities.

But the golden days of cross-border leasing were over. The US government had closed the tax loophole in 2004, thereby obstructing new deals with European cities.

A Bank Unloads Its Risks

Simon and his department developed a new business model, code-named "Matilda." The investment bankers set their sights on existing deals with European customers in order to sell them new financial products: special credit derivatives to supposedly hedge the old lease agreements.

For UBS, this type of transaction had several benefits. For one thing, it provided the bank with substantial commissions and fees. Besides, it enabled UBS to use the products to unload its own risks onto the municipalities.

All Simon needed now were customers onto whom he could palm off a high-risk product that was in fact more of a time bomb than an insurance policy. The UBS manager knew who could help him: two German investment bankers with whom he had set up cross-border leasing arrangements at Credit Suisse First Boston in the past. They had since established a small, discreet company in Switzerland called Value Partners.

On April 10, 2006, Simon wrote his first email about the Matilda project to Value Partners. He wrote that UBS wanted to offer special credit derivatives known as Collateralized Debt Obligations (CDO) within the context of cross-border leasing. The CDOs could serve as an insurance policy if there were problems with the municipal facilities that had been sold and leased back.
The best part of it was that the offer would initially cost the customers nothing and in fact provide them with profits — as long as they hedged the bank’s risks in return.

It didn’t take the two Germans long to identify a potential client. In an April 19 email, they wrote to KWL’s Heininger, with whom they were familiar from earlier leasing deals. There were ways to "optimize" the existing lease agreements, they explained.
Part 2: Internal UBS Fears of ‘Risk to Our Reputation’

Soon afterwards, Value Partners was able to report positive signals from Leipzig: "Our client is very much money minded — so please make sure your colleagues are pricing very competitive and fast," one of the emails to Simon reads. Apparently Simon complied, informing his UBS colleagues that if a deal were reached, the client stood to make between "$22 and 28 million" and that "there will likely be a similar fees for the firm." By firm he meant UBS.

Things happened very quickly after that. In early May 2006, Heininger attended a meeting at the UBS branch in London, the center of European investment banking. Simon had flown in from New York for the meeting.

A Witch’s Cauldron at UBS

Paul Valota* of the Exotic Desk, as the bank’s internal witch’s cauldron was known, handled the presentation. Although Valota and his UBS colleagues reportedly mentioned risks, they did so with a highly placating tone, as Heininger recalls today. "The world would end before risks are realized here," the bankers reportedly said.

But things didn’t go quite as smoothly as that. KWL’s attorneys, for example, reportedly voiced their concerns about the deal. They argued the financial risks were too great, and in doing so they struck a nerve. The UBS bankers disagreed. The financial products were structured in such a way — for good reason, from their point of view — that "UBS" would "benefit the most if the customer suffers losses," Valota wrote to his colleagues.

There was also growing resistance within the bank. The UBS loan auditing division allegedly submitted its veto, saying that it doubted whether the German clients were capable of properly assessing the risks, and feared a "risk to our reputation in the event of losses."

To exert pressure within the bank, Simon allegedly brought in his superiors. The banker responsible for risk products, Simon is said to have told his team soon afterwards, had gotten involved "to ‘force’ Internal Credit to revise its initial decision and approve the deal."

Bank Auditors Unconvinced

German UBS managers also campaigned for the deal. "Based on everything we know, this is a suitable transaction," a Frankfurt banker in charge of municipal deals wrote in an email to London. But the Frankfurt team couldn’t have gathered much information by that point. Its response was received at 12:58 p.m. on June 7, all of three minutes after the inquiry from London had been sent.

But the bank’s auditors still weren’t convinced, so Simon and his colleagues played their last trump card. They allegedly asked the brokers at Value Partners to state — untruthfully — that they had developed the deal themselves and offered it to KWL, that they had also familiarized KWL with all the risks involved and that only then had Value Partners approached UBS with Heininger’s mandate.

On June 8, 2006, one of the Value Partners brokers signed this bogus statement, which was sufficient to set aside the UBS auditors’ objections. UBS was now no longer responsible for the risky deal, at least on paper. The deal was perfect a few minutes later, and the first of four CDO transactions with KWL was signed in London.

Simon’s bosses were pleased. "It is this type of collaborative effort that we in the IB want to see… On behalf of the management here, we thank you," a senior UBS investment banker wrote to Simon a day later. Another bank manager was already thinking about further projects. "Please let us stay connected to Value partners and involved with future transactions. Nice work," he wrote.

The deal had also been worthwhile for Simon’s contacts at Value Partners and Heininger. Two weeks after it was signed, UBS transferred $21.1 million to an American trust account for KWL. Value Partners had power of attorney for the account. On the same day, its advisors transferred $3.2 million to an offshore company in the Caribbean, which then forwarded the funds to Heininger’s private account with a bank in Liechtenstein.

Safari Celebration

A few months later, the winners in the deal met to celebrate on the Cape of Good Hope in South Africa. Value Partners had invited the UBS bankers to a safari and a wine-tasting event. Simon and Valota posed for pictures with the hosts. The photos depict the men, smiling and looking triumphant, drinking toasts with red wine and waving around rifles like big game hunters in the savannah.

Heininger wasn’t there. He had already served his purpose, since the deal with Leipzig was intended to open the door to a new global market. Value Partners already had its sights set on potential UBS clients, including municipal and government companies in Austria, Hong Kong and Singapore.

But then the financial crisis erupted, and the CDOs proved to be a high-risk product that caused substantial losses for cities and their enterprises.

It was already late in the game when Leipzig Mayor Jung realized what a time bomb his city was sitting on. The deal had been carefully concealed. The funds were transferred through the US State of Delaware, a corporate tax haven, while the transactions were posted to accounts in London, to which there was no reference whatsoever in the Leipzig accounts. Only when the losses incurred by the secret London accounts were uncovered was the extent of the problem exposed. In December 2009 UBS, for the first time, presented the city of Leipzig with a bill for €20 million.

Now the city’s auditors discovered that Heininger’s deal had created uncontainable risks for Leipzig. As it turned out, the securities were no real insurance for cross-border leasing agreements. The banks had allegedly fabricated this explanation, probably because they believed that anyone who could be talked into a risky deal without understanding it could be fooled a second time.

As it turned out, the CDO products held by KWL were nothing but a melting pot for toxic financial securities. As the collapse of the US real estate market approached, UBS began adding more high-risk candidates to the mix. The list reads like a who’s who of crash candidates. It begins with Lehman Brothers and the US mortgage bank Freddie Mac, followed by Iceland’s Kaupthing Bank, the US bank Washington Mutual and, finally, in the fall of 2007, US mortgage lender Fannie Mae. They were all bankrupt a year later. By 2010, 13 securities were completely worthless; UBS added eight of those to the Leipzig portfolio after it had signed the contract to buy the CDOs.

Leipzig’s mayor has come up with a fitting analogy. "Imagine the following," he says. "To pay the mortgage insurance for your single-family home, you assume the credit insurance for a skyscraper in an earthquake zone."

Heininger and his advisors at Value Partners were arrested on corruption charges in the spring of 2010.

Simon in faraway New York became nervous. In March 2010, he wrote to an acquaintance: "Enter ‘UBS and Value Partners’ into your web browser. Something will come up in German, but then just click on ‘translate’ next to the articles. The transaction that I worked on with former friends/colleagues more or less turned into Germany’s Bernie Madoff scandal."

Bernard Madoff had defrauded New York investors out of $65 million and was sentenced to life in prison in 2009. It was very disconcerting to him, Simon wrote, that "the original idea came from me."

A Conviction over a $3 Million Bribe

An email written by one of Simon’s associates two months later could well pose far more of a problem for UBS. The associate, a financial advisor, had informed Simon that a Value Partners employee was still in custody, because he was considered a flight risk, and had allegedly confessed to having distributed fees and "bribed Heininger with about $3 million." He found it hard to believe, he added, "that UBS was blind to where these amounts were going."

The German judiciary had little interest in the global aspects behind what appeared to be a local corruption scandal. For the judges in Saxony, the confessions by Heininger and his advisors meant that the matter was closed. On Jan. 19, 2011, the Leipzig regional court sentenced Heininger to four years and 11 months in prison for accepting bribes, and the other advisors to three years in prison for bribery. UBS had managed to avoid prosecution once again.

That is now likely to change. The SEC began investigating UBS for its involvement in the Leipzig CDO deal in 2011. Feller and two other SEC investigators examined many emails and draft agreements and interviewed witnesses in New York, London and Berlin.

The SEC has no official comment on the allegations, and UBS and KWL, citing the pending case, also have no comment. UBS bankers Simon and Valota, who were involved in the Leipzig deal at the time, did not respond to inquiries, while their former boss let it be known, through his current employer’s spokesman, that he had "no comment."

UBS is already reducing the relative importance of its investment banking operation and slashing jobs. The Leipzig team has been eliminated. Simon now works for a law firm in Cincinnati, Ohio, as head of the firm’s structured lending department. Valota and his former bosses have also found new jobs in the financial sector.

Meanwhile, Heininger is in court again, together the Value Partners advisors. A regional court in Dresden has been hearing the case for almost a year, but this time it is not only corruption that is at issue, but also the exorbitant financial loss to the city of Leipzig.

UBS plays only a marginal role in the case, and German financial regulators have not even addressed the Leipzig transactions.

* Names changed by the editors

Translated from the German by Christopher Sultan

http://www.spiegel.de/international/ger … 06176.html

Statistics: Posted by yoda — Tue Jun 18, 2013 1:24 pm


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International News • Memo to the G8: the global economy’s about to fall apart

Memo to the G8: the global economy’s about to fall apart
Posted on 18 June 2013

Self-satisfied and sanctimonious the G8 world leaders descended on Northern Ireland this week to solve the problems of the world over dinner and walks between Ireland’s inevitable rain showers.

It’s great propaganda but nothing more. Down in the bowels of the global economy something very nasty is stirring. The addiction to money printing and stimulus is about to cause a very unpleasant reaction.

Asian indigestion

The worst cases are in Asia so it is easy enough to ignore on Western TV, and China and Japan are only too happy to play along with the show.

In Japan money printing is a failure. It has actually driven up interest rates. The banks are dumping government bonds because interest rates are rising and they fear inflation.

That’s not supposed to happen. They are supposed to sit tight while the government depresses rates. The yen is strengthening, and that’s bad for exporters.

In China the burden of debt is becoming intolerable too. China hid its borrowing in an unregulated shadow banking colossus that is now about to fall apart with the biggest financial crash in history.

Neither Japan nor China is some small side show like Greece. These are the world’s second and third largest economies. China, in particular helped to drag the world out of the 2008-9 economic crisis. Now she is about to go bust.

Economists don’t handle this sort of information well. They prefer to extend existing trends, not predict new ones. Scenarios are about as good as they can manage.

Well what is the bullish scenario this week? A tentative recovery in US housing proves not to be a mini-bubble but a harbinger of a great economic revival for the US which somehow manages to restore high economic growth rates while the rest of the world remains in recession, in the case of Europe, or plunges into recession in the case of Asia?

Coming challenges

The G8 leaders had better spend some time on personal bonding and networking this week because they are going to need it in the years to come.

All that money printing and debt is about to come back and hit them in the face. We agree that you can’t see it now. But like the proverbial brick on a piece of elastic if you keep tugging long enough it will fly up in your face. Temporarily this makes ArabianMoney’s gloom seem foolish.

Of course as soon as financial markets get a whiff of this reality then the volatility of the past few weeks will look like a walk in the park. Standby for the real closing fireworks!

http://www.arabianmoney.net/private-equ … all-apart/

Statistics: Posted by yoda — Tue Jun 18, 2013 12:40 am


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International News • Co-op set to unveil ‘bail in’ plan to plug £1.5bn hole

Co-op set to unveil ‘bail in’ plan to plug £1.5bn hole

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-22925580

The Co-op bank faces questions over its capital position Continue reading the main story

The Co-operative Bank is set to unveil a rescue plan to tackle the hole in its balance sheet.

The BBC’s business editor, Robert Peston, has learned that the hole is around £1.5bn.

He said a lot of the capital to be used to plug the hole will come through a "bail in" – a process where bonds will be turned into shares.

However, the plan makes Co-operative Bank appear much more like a bank than a mutual organisation.

An announcement between the bank and the Prudential Regulation Authority could come within the next few hours.

Under such a rescue deal, it is unlikely that taxpayer money will be required or that savers will be affected, but it could affect up to 5,000 smaller investors.

Concerns about the bank’s capital arose after a deal with Lloyds collapsed.

In April, the Co-op cancelled a plan to buy 631 bank branches from Lloyds Banking Group.

That was followed two weeks later by the ratings agency Moody’s downgrading the bank’s debt to junk status.

The Co-op will raise much of the £1.5bn of precious capital it needs from what is known as a "bail in", or converting bonds – loans to the group – into shares which will be listed on the London Stock Exchange.

This contrasts with the many bank "bail outs" of 2007-8, in which desperate banks were kept alive by injections of funds from the public sector.

With a minority of Co-op Bank’s future shares tradeable on the Exchange, the Co-op Bank will begin to look more like a conventional bank and less like a mutual – although it will still be controlled by the mutual Co-op Group.

The agency warned the bank may need "external support" if it could not strengthen its balance sheet.

In response to Moody’s, the Co-op said it had a "strong funding profile" that was "significantly above the regulatory requirements".

But the bank admitted there was a "need to strengthen our capital position in light of the broader economic downturn and the pending introduction of enhanced regulatory requirements".

It added: "We have a clear plan to drive this forward throughout the coming months."

Most of Co-op Bank’s problems stem from bad loans associated with its takeover of Britannia Building Society in 2009.

Any agreement with Co-op would be the first test of the new city regulator, the Prudential Regulation Authority, since it assumed responsibility from the Financial Services Authority in April for regulating the banks. Part of its mandate is to ensure that the banks won’t have to be bailed out from taxpayer money again.

The Co-operative Group, parent of Co-op Bank, was founded in 1863. It has more than 6 million members and employs more than 100,000 people.

Statistics: Posted by DIGGER DAN — Mon Jun 17, 2013 5:16 pm


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International News • IMF concerned about Dubai debt expansion to $142bn

IMF concerned about Dubai debt expansion to $142bn
Posted on 14 June 2013

The International Monetary Fund has warned that Dubai is risking another boom-to-bust business cycle by pushing up its debt to boost short-term growth at the cost of the medium term outlook, in a statement concluding its annual mission to the UAE.

The global central bank highlighted an increase in debt at Dubai government-related companies from $84 to $93 billion in the year to end of March. Borrowers have been taking advantage of the low yield on Dubai Government bonds to raise new funds. Total debts of $142 billion are now over 100 per cent of GDP.

$60bn by 2017

Around $60 billion of Dubai’s debts mature between this year and 2017, said the IMF, and that would leave the emirate vulnerable again to a deterioration in the global economy as in 2009. It criticized the management of debt in Dubai and called for the establishment of a debt management office.

The IMF would also like to see improvements in corporate governance with a clear separation between commercial and non-commercial activities at the government-related companies, and independent boards.

With property prices now almost back to pre-crisis levels, trade booming and tourism extremely bouyant in Dubai it is hard to believe that as recently as December 2009 the emirate was sinking in a debt crisis. Abu Dhabi came to the rescue with a $20 billion bailout and the $25 billion debts of Dubai World were restructured.

Has Dubai quickly slipped back into the bad habits of the past? The IMF makes its point with information supplied by the government, itself an advance in transparency since the crisis. There are now no hidden debts.

The question is whether they are sustainable through commercial activity or being racked up on prestige projects of dubious economic utility. So far the spending is mainly on finishing the best projects and high-margin in-fills like the shopping facilities on the Palm Island.

Smart spending

There are no more dinosaur parks in the desert and the most ambitious new schemes like the Mohammed bin Rashid City are phased out over decades. Still it is always a dilemma for any business, and Dubai Inc. is no different, as to the level of borrowing appropriate to the enterprise.

We recall the advice of the World Bank back in 2003 that Dubai should leave its development primarily to the private sector and wonder if the city would have its amazing infrastructure and critical mass today if that advice had been taken.

Building cities is after all the business of sheikhs and not multinational bureaucrats.

http://www.arabianmoney.net/banking-fin … -to-142bn/

Statistics: Posted by yoda — Fri Jun 14, 2013 12:04 am


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International News • AUTHORITY FOR UNLIMITED CYPRUS-STYLE “BAIL-INS” FOR TBTF BAN

FDIC & BANK OF ENGLAND CREATE RESOLUTION AUTHORITY FOR UNLIMITED CYPRUS-STYLE “BAIL-INS” FOR TBTF BANKS!

http://silverdoctors.com/fdic-bank-of-e … btf-banks/

APRIL 2, 2013

*BREAKING SD ALERT*
Editor note: Bringing this massive story back to the top of the news feed for those who missed it over the holiday weekend.
On Wednesday, SD broke the news that Canada had buried a provision for depositor bail-ins for systemically important banks deep inside its official 2013 budget, and stated that the Cypriot bail-in was not just a one-off event, but is in fact the new collapse template for the entire Western banking system.
We suspected that the same policy change had been made by the US & the UK, but was simply yet to be discovered, buried in the website of a Federal agency.
We suspected correctly…

In the introduction, the resolution informs readers that the FDIC and the Bank of England have been working together to formulate the new bail-in model for future bank failures:
The Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) and the Bank of England—together with the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, and the Financial Services Authority— have been working to develop resolution strategies for the failure of globally active, systemically important, financial institutions (SIFIs or G-SIFIs) with significant operations on both sides of the Atlantic.
The goal is to produce resolution strategies that could be implemented for the failure of one or more of the largest financial institutions with extensive activities in our respective jurisdictions. These resolution strategies should maintain systemically important operations and contain threats to financial stability. They should also assign losses to shareholders and unsecured creditors in the group, thereby avoiding the need for a bailout by taxpayers.

The joint US/UK resolution states that depositor haircuts are already legal in the UK thanks to the 2009 UK Banking Act:
In the U.K., the strategy has been developed on the basis of the powers provided by the U.K. Banking Act 2009 and in anticipation of the further powers that will be provided by the European Union Recovery and Resolution Directive and the domestic reforms that implement the recommendations of the U.K. Independent Commission on Banking. Such a strategy would involve the bail-in (write-down or conversion) of creditors at the top of the group in order to restore the whole group to solvency.
And that the legal authority has already been given in the US buried in Dodd-Frank:
It should be stressed that the application of such a strategy can be achieved only within a legislative framework that provides authorities with key resolution powers. The FSB Key Attributes have established a crucial framework for the implementation of an effective set of resolution powers and practices into national regimes. In the U.S., these powers had already become available under the Dodd-Frank Act. In the U.K., the additional powers needed to enhance the existing resolution framework established under the Banking Act 2009(the Banking Act) are expected to be fully provided by the European Commission’s proposals for a European Union Recovery and Resolution Directive (RRD) and through the domestic reforms that implement the recommendations of the U.K. Independent Commission on Banking (ICB), enhancing the existing
resolution framework established under the Banking Act.
The development of effective resolution strategies is being carried out in anticipation of such legislation.
The unsecured debt holders can expect that their claims would be written down to reflect any losses that shareholders cannot cover, with some converted partly into equity in order to provide sufficient capital to return the sound businesses of the G-SIFI to private sector operation. Sound subsidiaries (domestic and foreign) would be kept open and operating, thereby limiting contagion effects and cross-border complications. In both countries, whether during execution of the resolution or thereafter, restructuring measures may be taken, especially in the parts of the business causing the distress, including shrinking those businesses, breaking them into smaller entities, and/or liquidating or closing certain operations.

The resolution states that while the US would prefer large financial institutions be resolved through ordinary bankruptcy, depositor wealth confiscation will be pursued in the case of a systemically important institution (i.e. BOA, JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs, etc):
As demonstrated by the Title I requirement of the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act of 2010 (Dodd-Frank Act), the U.S. would prefer that large
financial organizations be resolvable through ordinary bankruptcy. However, the U.S. bankruptcy process may not be able to handle the failure of a systemic financial institution without significant disruption to the financial system.

The resolution authority states that shareholders would lose all value prior to depositor scalpings:
Under the strategies currently being developed by the U.S. and the U.K., the resolution authority could intervene at the top of the group. Culpable senior management of
the parent and operating businesses would be removed, and losses would be apportioned to shareholders and unsecured creditors. In all likelihood, shareholders would lose all value and unsecured creditors should thus expect that their claims would be written down to reflect any losses that shareholders did not cover.
Under both the U.S. and U.K. approaches, legal safeguards ensure that creditors recover no less than they would under insolvency.

The banksters plans for a bail-in resolution agency include investment banks and clearing houses as well as deposit bearing institutions!!!
The introduction of a statutory bail-in resolution tool (the power to writedown or convert into equity the liabilities of a failing firm) under the RRD is critical to implementing a whole group resolution of U.K. firms in a way that reduces the risks to financial stability. A bail-in tool would enable the U.K. authorities to recapitalize an institution by allocating losses to its shareholders and unsecured creditors, thereby avoiding the need to split or transfer operating entities. The provisions in the RRD that
enable the resolution authority to impose a temporary stay on the exercise of termination rights by counterparties in the event of a firm’s entry into resolution (in other words, preventing counterparties from terminating their contractual arrangements with a firm solely as a result of the firm’s entry into resolution) will be needed to ensure the bail-in is executed in an orderly manner.
The existing Banking Act does not cover nondeposit-taking financial firms, notably investment banks and financial market infrastructures (clearing houses in particular), the failure of which, in many cases, would also have significant financial stability consequences. The Banking Act also has limitations with regard to the application of resolution tools to financial holding companies. The U.K. is in the process of expanding the scope of the Banking Act to include these firms. This is expected to be achieved through the introduction of the U.K. Financial Services Bill, which is due to complete its passage through Parliament by the end of this year.
Exactly as played out with the Cyprus template, depositors will receive equity shares in the new, bailed-in institution:
The remaining claims of the debt holders will be converted, in part, into equity claims that will serve to capitalize the new operations. The debt holders may also receive convertible subordinated debt in the new operations. This debt would provide a cushion against further losses in the firm, as it can be converted into equity if needed. Any
remaining claims of the debt holders could be transferred to the new operations in the form of new unsecured debt.

Exactly as played out with the Cyprus template, depositor funds will be stolen in whatever quantities are required to keep the TBTF zombie bank afloat:
Once the recapitalization requirement has been determined, an announcement of the final terms of the bail-in would be made to the previous security holders.
This announcement would include full details of the write-down and/or conversion.
Debt securities would be cancelled or written down in order to return the firm to solvency by reducing the level of outstanding liabilities. The losses would be applied up the firm’s capital structure in a process that respects the existing creditor hierarchy underinsolvency law. The value of any loans from the parent to its operating subsidiaries would be written down in a manner that ensures that the subsidiaries remain solvent and viable.

For now (until the rules are changed when a greater need for funds arises, funds will only be stolen from depositors with more than the FDIC insured $100,000 in their account:
Insofar as a bail-in provides for continuity in operations and preserves value, losses to a deposit guarantee scheme in a bail-in should be much lower than in liquidation.
Insured depositors themselves would remain unaffected. Uninsured deposits would be treated in line with other similarly ranked liabilities in the resolution process, with the expectation that they might be written down.

In order for the resolution to work, the banksters state that the public must be convinced their deposits are safe, when in fact they are subject to bail-in confiscation:

Similarly, because the group remains solvent, retail or corporate depositors should not have an incentive to “run” from the firm under resolution insofar as their banking
arrangements, transacted at the operating company level, remain unaffected. In order to achieve this, the authorities recognize the need for effective communication to depositors, making it clear that their deposits will be protected.
0.1% interest on savings deposits with the now VERY REAL THREAT OF COMPLETE CONFISCATION in the US & UK doesn’t sound like such a great return to us.
The Fed appears to be making a calculated play to force savings out of the TBTF banks and into stocks and real estate, a move that is likely to backfire spectacularly.
GOT PHYZZ??

Statistics: Posted by DIGGER DAN — Tue Jun 11, 2013 3:39 am


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International News • China Export Growth Plummets Amid Fake-Shipment Crackdown

China Export Growth Plummets Amid Fake-Shipment Crackdown
By Bloomberg News – Jun 8, 2013 10:01 AM MT

China’s export growth plummeted to a 10-month low in May and imports unexpectedly fell as a crackdown on fake trade invoices exposed weakness in global demand.
Overseas sales rose 1 percent from a year earlier, the General Administration of Customs said in Beijing yesterday, trailing 35 of 38 analyst estimates in a Bloomberg News survey and down from April’s 14.7 percent pace. Imports dropped 0.3 percent, leaving a trade surplus of $20.4 billion.

The report reflects a government campaign to root out illegal capital inflows disguised as trade that had inflated figures and added to appreciation pressure on the yuan. It also underscores the challenges Premier Li Keqiang faces as overseas demand stalls while rising home prices, financial risks and overcapacity at home limit his room to boost the economy.
“This shows the real state of the Chinese export situation,” said Shen Jianguang, chief Asia economist at Mizuho Securities Asia Ltd. in Hong Kong. The data show a “pretty depressed” picture, with weak external demand and a yuan that has appreciated substantially against a trade-weighted basket of currencies, said Shen, who previously worked at the European Central Bank.
The slowdown in May’s figures was partly the result of “arbitrage trade” with Hong Kong being curbed, the customs administration said in a statement yesterday. Appreciation in the yuan and the worsening trade environment, as well as a domestic slowdown, weak external demand and high business costs, also contributed, the agency said.
Inflated Data
The State Administration of Foreign Exchange last month started a campaign to curb money flows disguised as trade payments that had inflated export data.
China’s exports to Hong Kong fell to $28 billion in May from $39.5 billion in April, according to yesterday’s customs data. Growth in sales through bonded zones, which lie within China’s borders and handle shipments as international trade, slumped to a year-on-year pace of 45.8 percent in May from April’s 253.5 percent.
Data due today on industrial production and retail sales for May and fixed-asset investment for the first five months are forecast to show little change from April’s growth rates. Analysts last month trimmed economic-expansion forecasts for the April-June period to a median projection of 7.8 percent from an 8 percent pace forecast in April.
Li, who took office as premier in March, has resisted adding stimulus to the economy as the new leadership tries to make growth more sustainable and avoid stoking financial risks.
Supportive Policies
The trade figures reflect a “normalization,” said Hu Yifan, chief economist at Haitong International Securities Co. in Hong Kong, the only analyst to forecast declines in exports and imports. “We expect export growth to remain modest but import growth to pick up along with implementation of supportive policies,” she wrote in a note yesterday.
The trade slump adds to concerns that the global recovery is losing momentum even as the U.S. shows signs of strengthening. The ECB last week forecast the 17-nation euro area will contract 0.6 percent this year, more than its March estimate of 0.5 percent. In the U.S., employers added more workers than forecast in May.
Even so, China’s exports to the U.S. fell 1.6 percent in May from a year earlier and imports from the U.S. dropped 1.5 percent, the first time since 2009 that both showed a decline in the same month.
Yuan Strength
Exports “may remain weak in the near term” as the U.S. economy softens, which is likely to shift expectations for a strengthening yuan, said Ding Shuang, senior China economist at Citigroup Inc. in Hong Kong. The yuan has risen 1.6 percent this year against the U.S. dollar and about 14 percent against the yen, the most among Asian currencies tracked by Bloomberg.
Analysts had median estimates of 7.4 percent for May export growth, 6.6 percent for import gains and $20 billion for the trade surplus.
Part of China’s broader import drop resulted from falling commodity prices. The volume of inbound iron ore shipments rose 7.4 percent in May from a year earlier while the value increased about 1 percent, based on previous data. Average prices in the first five months were down 4 percent, the customs agency said.
The customs administration in April acknowledged concerns that export data may be overstated after March shipments to Hong Kong jumped 92.9 percent from a year earlier, the most in at least a decade. A Bloomberg News survey last month showed analysts estimated January-April export growth was overstated by 4 to 13 percentage points.
Solar Tariffs
Trade friction may also hamper exports this year. The European Union last week said tariffs of as much as 67.9 percent could be imposed on solar panels from China in the largest EU commercial dispute of its kind, affecting Chinese companies like Yingli Green Energy Holding Co. and Wuxi Suntech Power Co.
China’s exporters are losing competitiveness “because of a strong yuan and rising protectionism,” Liu Li-Gang, Australia & New Zealand Banking Group Ltd.’s head of Greater China economics in Hong Kong, said in a note yesterday. That trend “will gradually show up in China’s export data in the following months, which will have dire consequences to China’s already weak job markets.”

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-06-0 … -drop.html

Statistics: Posted by yoda — Sat Jun 08, 2013 10:19 am


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International News • The Bilderberg Conference Secretive Gathering Of Elites

The History Of The Bilderberg Conference — The Most Famous Secretive Gathering Of Elites That Happens Every Year
Steven Perlberg | Jun. 6, 2013, 8:54 AM

http://www.businessinsider.com/what-you … erg-2013-6

Wikimedia Commons
Today, over 100 masters of the universe will assemble at the swanky Grove hotel in Watford, England for one of the most clandestine and controversial meetings in the world — the Bilderberg Conference.
Bilderberg has been around for almost 60 years, bringing together the most powerful people in the United States and Europe.
From CEOs to political bigwigs, it’s an opportunity for the global elite to gather every year and have an open dialogue about world affairs, no reporters allowed.
And since the first rule of the Bilderberg club is you don’t talk about the Bilderberg club, the historic hangout session enjoys more conspiracy theories than the moon landing — Bilderberg lore blames the meeting’s attendees for everything from the most recent financial crisis to global money laundering.

The History Of The Bilderberg Conference — The Most Famous Secretive Gathering Of Elites That Happens Every Year

1/19

The first Bilderberg Conference took place in 1954 and was intended to start a dialogue across the Atlantic to prevent another world war.

Wikimedia Commons
Western elites held it at the Bilderberg Hotel in the Netherlands. The idea was to foster better ties across the Atlantic in order to prevent another World War. They also gossiped about the Soviets.
Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/what-you … z2VY8wsgXB
Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/what-you … z2VY86qWYR

Henry Kissinger, David Rockefeller, and other big names were early Bilderberg members.

Flickr/therichbrooks
The group was started by Polish activist Jozef Retinger, who went on to be a major advocate of European unification. Eleven Americans, recommended by the Eisenhower administration, attended the first meeting. Some have stuck around — Kissinger and Rockefeller were at last year’s conference.

Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/what-you … z2VY9Zhz9B

Bill Clinton, Ben Bernanke, Larry Summers, and Donald Rumsfeld are all Bilderberg alumni.

Courtesy of Comedy Central
Also Lloyd Blankfein, George Soros, Rupert Murdoch, and Alan Greenspan. Basically if you’re a head of state or an influential mover-and-shaker, check your mailbox.
Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/what-you … z2VY9iKObz

Even Rick Perry got the call in 2007.

When questioned about it on an Iowa radio show in 2011, Perry explained, "I talked about the energy industry in America when I was there, and I hadn’t been invited back and that was 5 years ago so I guess I didn’t impress any of them."
Sorry, Rick.

Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/what-you … z2VY9sZoX5

This year’s conference is at the swanky $400-per-night Grove hotel.

Wikimedia Commons
The luminaries will descend on Watford, England from June 6-9 and spend their time at the luxurious Grove hotel. The secluded countryside paradise boasts a croquet lawn, outdoor swimming pool, tennis courts, golf, and 70 chefs to help keep the world’s most powerful focused on the tasks at hand.

Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/what-you … z2VYA0Jo6W
Amazon’s Jeff Bezos, PayPal founder Peter Thiel, and former CIA director David Petraeus are going.

Wikimedia Commons
Timothy Geithner, Mario Monti, and Google’s Eric Schmidt will be in the house too. You can check out the full list of global VIPs who made the cut here.

Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/what-you … z2VYA8hxon

What goes on is secret. Period.

Wikimedia Commons
Bilderberg describes itself as a "forum for informal, off-the-record discussions about megatrends and the major issues facing the world."

Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/what-you … z2VYAIwszL

Discussion topics are public, however, and range from the economy to big data.

Can the US and Europe grow faster and create jobs?
Jobs, entitlement and debt
How big data is changing almost everything
Africa’s challenges
Cyber warfare
Developments in the Middle East
Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/what-you … z2VYASPsj7

No journalists are allowed inside.

Wikimedia Commons
Security is airtight, for the purpose of keeping out expected protesters and reporters. Even residents living nearby will reportedly be forced to present their passports at police checkpoints
Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/what-you … z2VYAe4Wqh

That secrecy invites conspiracy theorists, of course, and they say Bilderberg runs the world.

YouTube
From the left of the political spectrum, Fidel Castro once cautioned against Bilderberg’s attempt at a centrally coordinated political landscape. Then there’s right-winger Alex Jones, 9/11 and Boston Marathon truther, whose on the ground coverage you can follow this week.

Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/what-you … z2VYAsXDM2

Some say the group is hiding the cure for cancer.

Wikimedia Commons
It’s one of the crazier theories out there.

Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/what-you … z2VYB0T9AC

Also that they engineered the credit crunch.

Wikimedia Commons
In order to further control the global order.

Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/what-you … z2VYB87Zxp

And are hell-bent at controlling 3D printing.

Wikimedia Commons
It’s the future!

Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/what-you … z2VYBFrVUg

They also contend that Bilderberg sponsors government killings and international crime.

Wikimedia Commons
That’s according to the website The Truth Seeker: "It becomes clear that Bilderberg uses Swiss banks for money laundering activities, funding of government overthrows, killings and bankrupting countries"

Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/what-you … z2VYBP7na7

"The True Story of the Bilderberg Group" is the seminal book on the matter.

Wikimedia Commons
Every good Bilderberg truther should carry around Daniel Estulin’s The True Story of the Bilderberg Group, available here. "After reading this book, it finally all comes together," wrote one conspiratorial Amazon reviewer.

Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/what-you … z2VYBYXZRi

For the first time in its history, this year Bilderberg will allow a press zone nearby.

Wikimedia Commons
It’s a major concession, offering the public more access to Bilderberg than ever before. Thousands of journalists, bloggers, and activists are expected.

Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/what-you … z2VYBfdtms

So is a "Bilderberg Fringe Festival."

Wikimedia Commons
Activists are preparing for the festival to run alongside the coference with "a jam-packed weekend of speakers, comedy, music, workshops, arts and entertainment."
Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/what-you … z2VYC9yrXs

Learn more about the secret conference, if you can, at Bilderberg’s terse website.

Bilderberg
The Bilderberg Meetings
Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/what-you … z2VYCHoEn0

How about another mystery?

Flickr.com
THE SAFRA DYNASTY: THE MYSTERIOUS FAMILY OF THE RICHEST BANKER IN THE WORLD >

Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/what-you … z2VYCQYE1a

Statistics: Posted by DIGGER DAN — Fri Jun 07, 2013 10:59 am


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International News • Turkey protests: Unrest rages in Istanbul and Ankara

Turkey protests: Unrest rages in Istanbul and Ankara

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-22739423

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-22740038

Turkey has entered a second day of violent protests, with fresh clashes between police and demonstrators in Istanbul and the capital, Ankara.

The unrest began as a sit-in over plans to redevelop Gezi Park in Istanbul’s Taksim Square, but escalated after police used tear gas.

Tear gas was again fired on Saturday in the square and police clashed with protesters crossing a Bosphorus bridge.

In Ankara, protesters tried to march on the parliament building.

Correspondents say that what began as a local issue has spiralled into more widespread anger at the government and ruling Justice and Development (AK) Party.

Transport lockdown
Hundreds of demonstrators marched over the bridge connecting the Asian and European shores of Istanbul on Saturday morning to try to reach the main square.

Police fired tear gas to try to disperse them and some protesters threw rocks.

Continue reading the main story
Analysis

Louise Greenwood
BBC News, Istanbul
What began as a small scale, peaceful protest to clear Gezi Park, one of the few remaining green spaces left in Taksim, has escalated into some of the worst scenes of public disorder and police violence seen in Turkey in recent years.

I was at Gumussuyu, on the edge of Taksim, at around 22:00 last night. Vast, blinding clouds of pepper spray and tear gas were being deployed by baton-wielding officers in riot gear who turned on thousands of protesters.

Bricks and paving slabs were pulled up and used as missiles by the crowds. Police in vehicles drove at them in an attempt to get them to disperse. With Taksim closed, demonstrators massed in the surrounding areas of Cihangir and Beyoglu and anti-government slogans and chanting continued through the night.

Police also fired water cannon and tear gas in Taksim Square as demonstrators chanted "unite against fascism" and "government resign".

Clashes were also reported in the Besiktas district.

One Istanbul resident, who gave her name as Lily, told the BBC’s World Service: "There are 40,000 people crossing the bridge between Asia and Europe today. All the public transport is on lockdown."

She said that police had dropped tear-gas canisters from helicopters overnight.

"About half past one the entire city started to reverberate. People were banging on pots, pans, blowing whistles," she said.

The BBC’s Louise Greenwood in Istanbul says police from as far afield as Antalya are being drafted in to help quell the violence.

She says the central Taksim district and surrounding areas remain cordoned off and bridges are closed to traffic.

Istanbul’s governor said a dozen people were admitted to hospital and more than 60 people detained after Friday’s clashes.

In Ankara, protesters staged what they described as a solidarity rally, with many participants chanting: "Everywhere is resistance, everywhere is Taksim!"

On Saturday, hundreds of demonstrators in Ankara gathered at a park, many drinking alcohol in protest at recent government restrictions on its sale and advertising.

Some chanting anti-government slogans tried to march on parliament but were dispersed by police.

Many postings on Twitter have complained angrily about the lack of media coverage of the protests within Turkey.

‘Creeping Islamisation’
The US has expressed concern over Turkey’s handling of the protests and Amnesty International condemned the police’s tactics.

Demonstrators had gathered in Gezi Park on Friday to contest the controversial redevelopment project aimed at easing congestion around Taksim Square, which involved uprooting trees.

Protests in Ankara continued into Saturday
Opponents of Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s plans say the park is one of the few green areas left in central Istanbul.

Correspondents say the issue has helped highlight unhappiness among young people towards the government and AK Party over what they see as creeping Islamisation.

Last week, Turkey’s parliament approved legislation restricting the sale and consumption of alcoholic drinks between 22:00 and 06:00.

The prime minister’s AK Party has its roots in political Islam, but he says he is committed to Turkey’s state secularism.

Mr Erdogan has been in power since 2002 and some in Turkey have complained that his government is becoming increasingly authoritarian.

Earlier this month, riot police clashed with tens of thousands of people attempting to hold a May Day march in Istanbul.

Are you at the protests? If so please contact us using the form below.
Send your pictures and videos to yourpics@bbc.co.uk or text them to 61124 (UK) or +44 7624 800 100 (International). If you have a large file you can upload here.

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Statistics: Posted by DIGGER DAN — Sat Jun 01, 2013 3:57 am


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International News • Eurozone jobless rate expected to hit 20 million

Eurozone jobless rate expected to hit 20 million
The unemployment rate in the 17 EU countries that use the euro is expected to reach 20 million by the end of the year, according to forecasts from the Eurostat statistics office, offering the currency bloc little hope of a quick exit from recession. By Kethevane GORJESTANI (video)
News Wires (text) Unemployment across the 17 EU countries that use the euro hit another record high in April – and appears to be on course to hit 20 million this year in what would be another gloomy landmark for the currency bloc.

Eurostat, the European Union’s statistics office, said Friday that the unemployment rate rose to 12.2 percent in April from the previous record of 12.1 percent the month before. In 2008, before the worst of the financial crisis, it was around 7.5 percent.

A net 95,000 people joined the ranks of the unemployed, taking the total to 19.38 million. At that pace, unemployment in the currency bloc – which has a population of about 330 million – could breach the 20 million mark by the end of the year.

Eurozone economies have been suffering because their governments are trying to improve public finances through aggressive spending cuts and tax increases. The problem is they’ve done it at a time when much of the private sector has been unable to plug the gap in activity left by the retreating state, unlike in the U.S., which has opted for a more gradual approach to debt reduction.

The unemployment figures mask big disparities among the euro countries. While over one in four people are unemployed in Greece and Spain, Germany’s rate is stable at a low 5.4 percent.

The differences are particularly stark when looking at the rates of youth unemployment. While Germany’s youth unemployment stands at a relatively benign 7.5 percent, well over half of people aged 16 to 25 in Greece and Spain are jobless. Italy’s rate has ticked up to over 40 percent.

"Youth joblessness at these levels risks permanently entrenched unemployment, lowering the rate of sustainable growth in the future," said Tom Rogers, senior economic adviser at Ernst & Young.

The differences reflect the varying performance of the euro economies – Greece, for example, is in its sixth year of a savage recession. Germany’s economy has until recently been growing at a healthy pace.

As a whole, the eurozone is in its longest recession since the euro was launched in 1999. The six quarters of economic decline is longer even than the recession that followed the financial crisis of 2008, though it’s not as deep.

By contrast the U.S. economy has been growing steadily since the end of its recession in June 2009 and the jobs market has started to improve, with the unemployment rate falling to 7.5 percent in April.

Though the eurozone is the epicenter of Europe’s debt crisis, other countries in the region are struggling to recover as well. Some, like Britain, are also pursuing deficit reduction measures at a time when demand in their main export market – the eurozone – is falling. As a result, the wider 27-nation EU, which includes the non-euro countries such as Britain and Poland, has seen unemployment ratchet higher in recent months. In April it was flat at 11 percent.

One of the reasons behind Europe’s economic decline is governments’ focus on cutting debt aggressively by raising taxes and slashing spending programs. With many governments still pulling back on spending and business and consumer confidence still low, economists do not expect any dramatic recovery to emerge over the coming months.

The sharpest change in unemployment rates among the 17 euro countries was in Cyprus, which saw its jobless rate rise to 15.6 percent from 14.5 percent.

The small Mediterranean island nation became the fifth euro country to seek financial assistance in March. The difference with the other bailouts was that the country was asked to raise a big chunk of its rescue money from bank depositors – a shock decision that led to a near two-week shutdown of the banks and battered economic confidence.

The European Central Bank has sought to make life easier for Europe’s hard-pressed businesses and consumers by cutting its main interest rate to the record low 0.5 percent earlier this month.

Another cut is possible, but most economists say it’s unlikely, even though the inflation rate is still under the ECB’s target of just below 2 percent.

Eurostat said Friday that inflation in the eurozone rose to 1.4 percent in the year to May from the 38-month low of 1.2 percent recorded in April. It attributed the increase to rising food, alcohol and tobacco prices.

Analysts said the ECB is more likely to take measures to shore up lending to small and medium-sized businesses, one of the main job creators in Europe. Such companies are currently not taking out many loans for fear the economy might worsen and because banks are charging high rates.

"So far the ECB’s actions have not translated into lower lending rates for businesses and households, failing to boost activity," said Anna Zabrodzka, economist at Moody’s Analytics.

http://www.france24.com/en/20130531-eur … 20-million

Statistics: Posted by yoda — Fri May 31, 2013 11:00 am


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