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Gold and Silver • JPM Vault Gold Drops By 28.4% Overnight, Record Low

JPM Vault Gold Drops By 28.4% Overnight, Slides To Fresh Record Low As Withdrawals Accelerate
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 06/11/2013 17:43 -0400

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-06-1 … accelerate

With a massive 6,208 (or 80% of the total in the entire Comex system) Customer Delivery issues outstanding against JPM so far in June alone, many have been wondering – how and when will the firm reconcile what is seemingly more demand for JPM vaulted gold than the firm has in its possession?

While we still don’t have the answer, what we do know is that as of an hour ago when the Comex released its daily vault depository statistics, JPM has said goodbye to another 28.4% of all of its vaulted gold – the largest one day withdrawal since April 25, the result of the departure of 61.5% of its Eligible gold, or 218k troy oz, as hundreds of thousands of registered ounces in the bast few weeks have seen warrant detachment.

Which means that as of last night, total gold held by JPM has fallen to a new fresh all time low of just 550k ounces, down from 768K the day before, and total eligible gold of only 136,380 troy oz in inventory (just over 4 metric tonnes) – also a record low.

Whoever is "running the JPM vault" shows no sign of relenting. At this pace, the world’s biggest gold vault located below 1 CMP, and just next to the Fed’s own gold vault, will be empty in about 1.5-2 months.

Statistics: Posted by DIGGER DAN — Wed Jun 12, 2013 12:21 am


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American • American Households On Foodstamps Climb To New Record

American Households On Foodstamps Climb To New Record
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 06/08/2013 13:35 -0400

New Normal

Yesterday, briefly, we were confused by the eruption in the stock market following a not too bad sub-200K nonfarm payrolls number. Because we know that in the New Normal bad is always good, no matter what the well-coifed TV pundit du jour tells you. Then we remembered that yesterday is when the USDA releases its monthly Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program data, i.e. Americans on Foodstamps.

It was here that the ramp was perfectly explained, because while the bad (for stocks of course) data was that individual foodstamps recipients rose by 170K in March – if just a whisker below all time highs – it was the number of American households on foodstamps, which rose to a new all time high of 23,116,441 (each collecting an average of $274.30 per month) that perfectly explained the Dow Jones’ 200 point surge higher: the transfer of wealth from the poor and middle-classes to the 1% continues without a hiccup.
Image

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-06-0 … new-record

Statistics: Posted by yoda — Sat Jun 08, 2013 12:36 pm


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Agriculture • Re: Believing To Be god, Record world crops on horizon, USDA

Not going to happen

Statistics: Posted by yoda — Tue Jun 04, 2013 11:24 am


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The Student Loan Delinquency Rate In The United States Has Hit A Brand New Record High

College Graduation - Photo by Mando vzl37 million Americans currently have outstanding student loans, and the delinquency rate on those student loans has now reached a level never seen before.  According to a new report that was just released by the U.S. Department of Education, 11 percent of all student loans are at least 90 days delinquent.  That is a brand new record high, and it is almost double the rate of a decade ago.  Total student loan debt exceeds a trillion dollars, and it is now the second largest category of consumer debt after home mortgages.  The student loan debt bubble has been growing particularly rapidly in recent years.  According to the Federal Reserve, the total amount of student loan debt has risen by 275 percent since 2003.  That is a staggering figure.  Millions upon millions of young college graduates are entering the “real world” only to discover that they are already financially crippled for decades to come by oppressive student loan debt burdens.  Large numbers of young people are even putting off buying homes or getting married simply because of student loan debt.

So why is this happening?  Well, a big part of the problem is that the cost of college tuition has gotten wildly out of control.  Since 1978, the cost of college tuition has risen even more rapidly then the cost of medical care has.  Tuition costs at public universities have risen by 27 percent over the past five years, and there appears to be no end in sight.

We keep encouraging our young people to take out all of the loans that are necessary to pay for college, because a college education is supposedly the “key” to their futures.

But is that really the case?

Sadly, the reality of the matter is that millions of young Americans are graduating from college only to discover that the jobs that they were promised simply do not exist.

In fact, at this point about half of all college graduates are working jobs that do not even require a college degree.

This is leading to mass disillusionment with the system.  One survey found that 70% of all college graduates wish that they had spent more time preparing for the “real world” while they were still in college.

And because so many of them cannot get decent jobs, more college graduates then ever are finding that they cannot pay back the huge student loans that they were encouraged to sign up for.  The following is from a recent Bloomberg article.

Eleven percent of student loans were seriously delinquent — at least 90 days past due — in the third quarter of 2012, compared with 6 percent in the first quarter of 2003, according to the report by the U.S. Education Department.  Almost 30 percent of 20- to 24-year-olds aren’t employed or in school, the study found.

Everyone agrees that we are now dealing with an unprecedented student loan debt bubble, but none of our leaders seem to have any solutions.

The two charts posted below come from a recent Zero Hedge article, and they are very illuminating.  The first chart shows how the amount of student loan debt owned by the federal government has absolutely exploded in recent years, and the second chart shows how the percentage of student loan debt that is at least 90 days delinquent has risen to a brand new record high…

Delinquent Student Loans - Zero Hedge Chart

How is the economy ever going to recover if an increasingly large percentage of our young college graduates are financially crippled by student loan debt?

And things are about to get even worse.

If Congress takes no action, the interest rate on federal student loans is going to double to 6.8 percent on July 1st.  That rate increase would affect more than 7 million students.

And debt burdens just continue to increase in size.  In fact, according to one recent study, “70 per cent of the class of 2013 is graduating with college-related debt – averaging $35,200 – including federal, state and private loans, as well as debt owed to family and accumulated through credit cards.”

This is one reason why there is so much poverty among young adults in America today.  As I mentioned in a previous article, families that have a head of household that is under the age of 30 have a poverty rate of 37 percent.  For much more on the student loan debt bubble and how it is crippling an entire generation of Americans, please see my recent article entitled “29 Shocking Facts That Prove That College Education In America Is A Giant Money Making Scam“.

And of course delinquency rates remain very high on other forms of debt as well.  For example, delinquency rates on home mortgages have typically been around 2 to 3 percent historically.  But as you can see from the chart below, the delinquency rate on single-family residential mortgages is currently close to 10 percent…

Delinquency Rate On Single-Family Residential Mortgages

So are we really having an “economic recovery”?

Of course not.

Things are good for those that have lots of money in the stock market (for now), but for the vast majority of Americans things continue to get worse.

And we continue to forget the lessons that we should have learned from the financial crisis of 2008.  Right now, we are seeing a resurgence of cash out financing.  But this time, people are leveraging their inflated stock portfolios instead of their home equity.  The following is from a  CNN report

The recent run-up in the market, financial advisers say, has led to a resurgence of the type of loan not seen since the end of the housing boom — cash out financing. But this time, though, people aren’t tapping their inflated house for money. These days stock portfolios appear to be the well of choice.

Financial planners say in recent months clients have taken out so-called margin loans to buy real estate, fund small business acquisitions, or to provide gap financing before a traditional loan could be secured from a bank.

“No one wants to be out of the market for 90 days,” says Mark Brown, a financial planner for Brown Tedstron in Denver. “People just don’t want to sell right now.”

We are a nation that is absolutely addicted to debt.  We know that it is wrong, but we just can’t help ourselves.

We are like the 900 pound man that recently died.  He knew that he was eating himself to death, but he just couldn’t stop.

In the end, we are going to pay a great price for our gluttony.  Everyone in the world can see that we are killing the greatest economy that ever existed, but we simply do not have the self-discipline to do anything about it.

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Canadian • Re: Pierre Trudeau’s disastrous record is finally laid out f

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pierre_Tru … _World_War

Trudeau said he was willing to fight during World War II, but he believed that to do so would be to turn his back on the population of Quebec that he believed had been betrayed by the government of William Lyon Mackenzie King. Trudeau reflected on his opposition to conscription and his doubts about the war in his Memoirs (1993): "So there was a war? Tough… if you were a French Canadian in Montreal in the early 1940s, you did not automatically believe that this was a just war… we tended to think of this war as a settling of scores among the superpowers."[6]

In an Outremont by-election in 1942, Trudeau campaigned for the anticonscription candidate Jean Drapeau (later the Mayor of Montreal), and he was thenceforth expelled from the Officers’ Training Corps for lack of discipline

Statistics: Posted by DIGGER DAN — Sun May 26, 2013 11:20 pm


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Agriculture • Record US farmland growth continues

Thurs 16th May 2013

Record US farmland growth continues

Farmland values in key central-US agricultural areas continue to appreciate at a record pace according to the latest central bank figures, with values recording their third consecutive double-digit year-on-year growth in the first quarter of 2013.

Values for non-irrigated cropping land across key central-US agricultural areas, including Kansas, the top wheat-growing state, increased by a strong 19.3% over the first quarter compared with the same three month period of 2012.

However with some states still struggle against drought conditions land blessed by ready rains, or possessing irrigation, recording stronger growth of 21.5%.

The largest growth gap was seen in Oklahoma where irrigated farmland prices increased 12.1% compared with 6.5% growth in non-irrigated lands. Similar disparity was witnessed in Nebraska as irrigated prices increased 22.6% compared with 17.3% growth for non-irrigated lands.

Dry vs wet
Ranchland prices also benefitted from double-digit year-on-year growth in the first quarter, albeit at a slower pace than irrigated farmland values.

Oklahoma enjoyed the strongest growth over the quarter at 18.2%. However prices in the state were playing catch-up to others after increasing 6.9% in 2012 compared with the very strong 21.2% price growth in Nebraska, which overtook Kansas to second place among US cattle states last year as animals were moved north from the drought affected southern Plains.

"Dry weather conditions are having a big impact on our cattle producers," reported bankers from Northeast New Mexico.

Lower debt ratios
The ongoing growth in farmland values again helped reduce debt-to-asset ratios, with many banks reporting farmers with ratios lower than 40%, according to the US Federal Reserve’s Kansas City bank.

However, bankers across the region projected lower farm incomes. In particular livestock farmer profits were "hurting" from the double effect of high feed and forage costs and shrinking cattle and hog prices.

The bank also reported a substantial share of banks farm customers across the region had debt-to-asset ratios greater than 40%, with young and start-up farmers typically the most leveraged.

"Those borrowers with a high concentration of farm debt are typically younger farmers who have started their enterprise with little help from established family members," reported bankers in Eastern Colorado.

Some bankers remained concerned about the ability of more leveraged operations to meet debt obligations, should farm income or land values trend lower.

"Banks may start requiring more collateral on farm real estate loans as a ‘hedge’ against a potential softening of the real estate market," suggested bankers in Eastern Kansas.

http://www.agrimoney.com/news/record-us … -5844.html

Statistics: Posted by yoda — Thu May 16, 2013 9:48 am


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American • U.S. citizens ditch passports in record numbers

U.S. citizens ditch passports in record numbers
May 8, 2013: 1:35 PM ET

If the recent quarter’s pace continues, 2013 will become a landmark year for saying goodbye to America, tax-wise.
By Lynnley Browning

Mahmood Karzai, no longer a U.S. citizen.
FORTUNE — Americans are ditching their U.S. passports in record numbers, a sign of growing frustration with a system that taxes U.S. citizens on their global wealth whether they live in Montana or Mongolia.
The latest bold-faced names to relinquish their U.S. citizenship include Mahmood Karzai, a brother of Hamid Karzai, the president of Afghanistan, according to federal data released Wednesday. Also on the list, published quarterly by the Internal Revenue Service, is Isabel Getty, the daughter of jet-setting socialite Pia Getty and Getty oil heir Christopher Getty.
In total, more than 670 U.S. passport holders gave up their citizenship — and with it, their U.S. tax bills — in the first three months of this year. That is the most in any quarter since the I.R.S. began publishing figures in 1998. And it is nearly three-quarters of the total number for all of 2012, a year in which the wealthy songwriter-socialite Denise Rich (christened "Lady Gatsby" by Yachting magazine) and Facebook co-founder Eduardo Saverin joined more than 932 other Americans in tossing their passports.
If the recent quarter’s pace continues, 2013 will become a landmark year for saying goodbye to America, tax-wise.
MORE: Offshore account holders win a victory in government tax case
"It’s the cumulative effect of the I.R.S. ‘jihad’ against foreign bank accounts," said Phil Hodgen, an international tax lawyer in Pasadena, Calif. He said growing numbers of Middle Eastern investors were ordering their dual-citizen children to dump their U.S. passports if they wanted to inherit family-owned companies without onerous U.S. estate taxes.
While dumping citizenship may seem unpatriotic or smack of tax avoidance to some critics, tax lawyers blame the byzantine complexity of American tax regulations.
The rules "are confusing, complex, and so complicated that even Americans with good intentions can easily find themselves running afoul of the law," said Jeffrey Neiman, a former federal prosecutor who was involved in the government’s offshore banking probe and is now in private practice in Fort Lauderdale, Fla. "This very well may explain why we are seeing a record number of Americans renouncing their United States citizenship."
The trend has swelled amid a widening crackdown by the U.S. Justice Department on offshore private banking services sold by Swiss and Swiss-style banks to wealthy Americans in recent years. Nearly a dozen foreign banks, include Israel’s Bank Leumi, HSBC, Credit Suisse (CS), Julius Baer and Swiss cantonal, or regional, banks are under criminal scrutiny; last year, Wegelin & Co, Switzerland’s oldest bank, was indicted and put out of business. More than four dozen wealthy Americans and their foreign bankers have been indicted or charged in recent years.
More than 39,000 Americans have come forward in recent years to declare their secret accounts to the I.R.S. in exchange for reduced fines and penalties, but officials suspect that is a fraction of the total number of people either deliberately hiding or unwittingly not reporting their foreign accounts. I.R.S. data for 2012 shows just over two million tax returns filed in 2012 by overseas Americans, compared with an estimated six million Americans living or working abroad. Only a fraction of Americans with foreign bank accounts are also filing required disclosures known as Fbars, according to federal data.

http://finance.fortune.cnn.com/2013/05/ … ?iid=HP_LN

Statistics: Posted by yoda — Thu May 09, 2013 12:17 am


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Gold and Silver • Gold ETF posts record outflow in April, US coin sales spike

Gold ETF posts record outflow in April, US coin sales spike

http://www.mineweb.com/mineweb/content/ … &sn=Detail

In April, the SPDR Gold Trust posted a record monthly outflow in tonnage terms, by contrast, sales of American Eagle gold coins rose to their highest monthly tally since Dec 2009.

Gold’s historic sell-off last month has intensified a disconnect between funds that sold on dissatisfaction over bullion’s underperformance and individual investors who could not get enough physical gold coins and bars at bargain prices.

See also (Shortages of physical gold now a global phenomenon)

In April, the world’s largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund (ETF), the SPDR Gold Trust, posted a record monthly outflow in tonnage terms.

In contrast, sales of the U.S. Mint’s American Eagle gold coins rose to their highest monthly tally since December 2009.

See also (U.S. Mint gold bullion coins sales soar in April to highest in 3 years)

While equities ETFs are often used by longer-term retail investors, high-profile hedge fund managers, including John Paulson and other institutional investors, are by far the biggest shareholders of gold ETFs.

"It’s been primarily the financial component that has been selling. I don’t think that we have seen a lot of small holders changing their view on gold," said Nicholas Johnson, a portfolio manager who helps manage the $30 billion in commodities at PIMCO in Newport Beach, California.

Johnson said he expects tremendous Asian buying on dips and demand by central banks there to more than offset fast-money-type selling by Western financial institutions.

Bullion held by the SPDR Gold Trust dropped by around 143 tonnes in April from March – valued at $6.6 billion at Wednesday’s prices – for its biggest monthly decline since its launch in November 2004.

It now holds 1,078.5 tonnes of gold, the lowest level since 2009, versus 1,221.26 tonnes at the end of March.

Gold prices dropped $225 per ounces between April 12 and 16 on fears of a withdrawal of the Federal Reserve’s monetary stimulus and after the European Central Bank and the International Monetary Fund asked Cyprus to sell reserves as part of a bailout deal.

GOLD, SILVER COINS FLYING OFF SHELVES

In contrast, gold coins and bars, favorites of longer-term individual investors who want to gain exposure to the precious metal, soared after gold’s spectacular sell-off.

Shops selling gold coins, jewelry and bars around the world reported an unprecedented surge in demand and mints and refineries were working over time to keep up.

Sale of the American Eagle gold coins, jumped 10 times year-over-year in April to 209,500 ounces, the highest level since December 2009, U.S. Mint data showed on Wednesday.

In the first four months this year, sales of the U.S. gold coins increased to 502,000 ounces in 2013 from 116,200 ounces in the same period last year.

The strong performance came even after the U.S. Mint had suspended sales of its one-tenth ounce gold coins last week as surging demand depleted its inventory.

Chris Carkner, a managing director at the Royal Canadian Mint, said demand for gold and silver Maple Leaf bullion coins increased sharply year-over-year in the first four months of 2013, and the Mint is managing its inventories closely to ensure continuous supply to its global customers.

New Orleans-based retail coin dealer Blanchard & Co said huge demand from both new and existing clients boosted its April American Eagle gold coin sales 400 percent versus sales in March.

In addition, the Mint’s American Eagle silver coin sales also climbed to over 4 million ounces in April from around 1.5 million ounces in the same month in 2012.

Dealers reported as much as $5, or a 20 percent premium per one-ounce American Eagle silver coin, partly due to a lack of coin blanks and production lag as the U.S. Mint has been rationing them after a brief halt in January.

Statistics: Posted by DIGGER DAN — Thu May 02, 2013 9:03 pm


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They Are Murdering Small Business: The Percentage Of Self-Employed Americans Is At A Record Low

They Are Murdering Small Business - The Percentage Of Self-Employed Americans Is At A Record Low - Photo by Tina McKimmieThe percentage of Americans that are working for themselves has never been lower in the history of the United States.  Once upon a time, the United States was a paradise for entrepreneurs and small businesses, but now the control freak bureaucrats that dominate our society have created a system that absolutely eviscerates them.  This is very unfortunate, because by murdering small business, the bureaucrats are destroying the primary engine of job growth in this country.  One of the big reasons why there are not enough jobs in America today is because small business creation is way down.  As I mentioned yesterday, entrepreneurs and small businesses are being absolutely devastated by rules, regulations, red tape and by oppressive levels of taxation.  If anyone doubts that small business in the United States is dying, just look at the charts below.  Sadly, this is what the bureaucrats that run things want.  They don’t want us to be independent of the system.  Instead, they are much more comfortable when as many of us as possible are heavily dependent on the system in one way or another.  If all of us have to go running to the government or to one of the big corporations for a job, then we are much easier to control.  But as the control freaks continue to construct their bureaucratic utopia, they are also killing off what once made the U.S. economy so great.

The other day I came across the following two charts in an article by Charles Hugh Smith, and I was absolutely stunned by what I saw.  This first chart shows that the number of unincorporated self-employed Americans has dropped back to levels that we have not seen since the mid-1980s even though our population has increased by tens of millions of people since that time…

The Number Of Self-Employed Americans

As you can see, from 1970 to the mid-1990s the number of unincorporated self-employed Americans rose steadily.  But in the mid-1990s it began to level off and now it is falling rapidly.

This next chart shows the percentage of self-employed Americans as a share of non-farm employment.  In other words, those that work on farms are excluded from this chart.  The percentage of self-employed Americans was fairly stable between 1970 and 1990, but since 1990 it has been steadily eroding and it has now reached a level never seen before…

Self-Employed As A Share Of Non-Farm Employment

At this point, only about 7 percent of non-farm workers are self-employed.  That is depressingly low.  That means that an overwhelming majority of those that are employed in America are working for the system in one capacity or another.

But isn’t that what we pound into the heads of our children these days?  We teach them to work hard in school so that they can “get a good job” when they grow up.  From a very early age we train our children to plug themselves into the system.

Not that working for someone else is wrong.  Of course not.  It is just that we are not fostering a spirit of entrepreneurship in America today.  In fact, we seem to be doing everything that we can to kill it off.

In a previous article, I detailed how the number of new businesses (and the number of jobs those businesses create) has been steadily declining.  In particular, this decline has accelerated dramatically under the Obama administration.  According to an analysis of U.S. Department of Labor data performed by economist Tim Kane, the following is how the decline in the number of startup jobs per 1000 Americans breaks down by presidential administration

Bush Sr.: 11.3

Clinton: 11.2

Bush Jr.: 10.8

Obama: 7.8

Is that a good trend or a bad trend?

It doesn’t take an advanced degree in economics to figure out where things are going.

Kane speculated about why we are witnessing such a decline in his paper

There is anecdotal evidence that the U.S. policy environment has become inadvertently hostile to entrepreneurial employment. At the federal level, high taxes and higher uncertainty about taxes are undoubtedly inhibiting entrepreneurship, but to what degree is unknown. The dominant factor may be new regulations on labor.  The passage of the Affordable Care Act is creating a sweeping alteration of the regulatory environment that directly changes how employers engage their workforces, and it will be some time until those changes are understood by employers or scholars. Separately, there has been a federal crackdown since 2009 by the Internal Revenue Service on U.S. employers that hire U.S. workers as independent contractors rather than employees, raising the question of mandatory benefits. New firms tend to use part-time and contract staffing rather than full-time employees during the startup stage. According to Labor Department data, the typical American today only takes home 70 percent of compensation as pay, while the rest is absorbed by the spiraling cost of benefits (e.g., health insurance). The dilemma for U.S. policy is that an American entrepreneur has zero tax or regulatory burden when hiring a consultant/contractor who resides abroad. But that same employer is subject to paperwork, taxation, and possible IRS harassment if employing U.S.-based contractors. Finally, there has been a steady barrier erected to entrepreneurs at the local policy level. Brink Lindsey points out in his book Human Capitalism that the rise of occupational licensing is destroying startup opportunities for poor and middle class Americans.

In my previous article, I also pointed out some of the other statistics that show that small business in America is dying…

-According to the U.S. Census Bureau, the U.S. economy lost more than 220,000 small businesses during the last recession.

-As a share of the population, the percentage of Americans that are self-employed fell by more than 20 percent between 1991 and 2010.

-As a share of the population, the percentage of “new entrepreneurs and business owners” dropped by a staggering 53 percent between 1977 and 2010.

Unfortunately, this is a crisis that has taken decades to develop and that there are not any easy solutions for.  But there are certain factors that should be addressed immediately.  The following are some of the things that are contributing to the murder of self-employment and small business in America…

#1 Taxes: The IRS seems to especially enjoy tormenting entrepreneurs and small businesses.  In fact, things have gotten so bad that even late night talk show hosts are joking about it.  Recently, NBC Tonight Show host Jay Leno joked that if Barack Obama really wanted to close down Guantanamo Bay, he should “do what he always does: declare it a small business and tax it out of existence”

#2 Ridiculous Regulations: If you have ever tried to start a small business, you probably know how frustrating it can be dealing with government red tape.  In particular, the federal government has burdened our small businesses with gigantic mountains of rules and regulations and it gets worse with each passing day.

#3 State Governments That Are Openly Hostile To Business: A perfect example of this is the state of California.  In 2011, the state of California ranked 50th out of all 50 states in new business creation, and yet they just continue to pass more legislation that hurts small businesses.

#4 Obamacare: Our broken healthcare system is a tremendous burden on small businesses, and Obamacare is going to make things much worse.

#5 The One World Trade Agenda: In many industries, U.S. small businesses simply cannot compete against products made by workers that are being paid slave labor wages on the other side of the globe.

#6 Predator Corporations: Time after time we have seen corporate giants extract huge tax breaks and other enormous concessions from local officials which give them an overwhelming advantage.  But once the corporate giant moves into town, many of the existing small businesses find that they cannot compete and are forced to shut down.

#7 Our Corrupt Political System: On the national level, elections are almost always won by the politician that raises the most money.  Our politicians know that their careers depend on raising money, so they tend to be very good to those that they get big money from.  There is a reason why big corporations spend billions of dollars on campaign contributions and lobbying.  They do it because it works.  Over the decades, the big corporations have been able to shift the rules of the game massively in their favor, and this has been to the detriment of entrepreneurs and small businesses.

Can you think of any other factors that you would add to this list?  Please feel free to share your opinion by leaving a comment below…

Small Business Has Been Murdered

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Gold and Silver • US Mint Sells Record 63,500 Ounces Of Gold In One Day

US Mint Sells Record 63,500 Ounces Of Gold In One Day
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 04/17/2013 21:23 -0400

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-04-1 … mi=8122375

One of the more curious revelations of the New Normal is the fundamental dichotomy when investing between paper "investors", or those who chase returns based on intangible, fiat-based and central bank-backed promises, such as capital appreciation or cash flow streams, and those who would rather convert their paper money into hard assets, even if said assets can not be, in the immortal words of Warren Buffett, fondled, or otherwise generate a cash-based return. Such as gold.

Today provides perhaps the perfect example of how the former increasingly trade on nothing but momentum and speculative mania (such as the previously reported record inflow of foreign capital into the Japanese stock market well after the bulk of the easy upside has already been made and at this point there is mostly downside) and where buying begets only more buying, while rampant selling only leads to liquidations, while those who invest in hard assets (and thus have little to no leverage) have become the true value investors, purchasing more as the price of the underlying asset drops. Yes, a novel concept to most High Frequency Trading vacuum tubes, and the momentum-chasing, equity trading "expert" du jour, but nothing new to Indians, Australians, Chinese or the Japanese.

And apparently to at least some Americans.

According to today’s data from the US Mint, a record 63,500 ounces, or a whopping 2 tons, of gold were reported sold on April 17th alone, bringing the total sales for the month to a whopping 147,000 ounces or more than the previous two months combined with just half of the month gone.

Punchline number one, as the chart below shows, is that the more the price of gold fell, the more aggressive the purchases of physical gold through the Mint became, rising to 96,500 oz in the last two days alone. Buying more of something you want when the price drops: what a stunning concept – explain that to the algos who nearly crashed the German stock market overnight.

Punchline number two, of course, is that the US mint charges a hefty premium for purchases: much more so than traditional vendors like Apmex or Gainesville Coins, and is usually the last resort for when nobody else has any physical at a lower premium to spot (or any metal in inventory).

So how long until the US mint "runs out" of American Eagles and Buffaloes in inventory, along with the depletion of all other precious metal vendors? And what happens if the price of paper gold hits zero (or goes negative) courtesy of bank and financial institution liquidation selling of paper derivative contracts nebulously referencing some yellow metal somewhere, even as suddenly there is no physical to be delivered to anyone, anywhere?

Inquiring minds really want to know.

Statistics: Posted by DIGGER DAN — Thu Apr 18, 2013 6:50 am


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